Happy by Confidence

Anyone looking for reasons to despair, just need to take a look at the news: Notre Dame is destroyed, the economy is in a downturn, there is a new wave of populism threatens the Brexit to the eternal impasse, and the press photo of the year shows a crying girl at the US border.

How is it possible to endure this flood of bad news without becoming depressed or cynical? Where is the Positive?

Any kind of Confidence we need. Without a minimum level of positive future expectation, no one would be designing more political programmes, children in the world, to go traveling, or even just get up in the morning.

Easter is also no longer what it once was

The Confidence is in crisis, particularly in Germany. Although – or precisely because – their standard of living is high, see German young people more pessimistic about the future than their peers in Mexico, Nigeria or Kenya. Even Easter, the Church feast of the Confidence, is no longer what it once was: the Belief in the resurrection is difficult today, even faithful Christians. And the churches are so in Need that they themselves need more Confidence to donate instead of you.

Apparently, we are experiencing not only a fossil, but also a psychological energy crisis: What are we missing in terms of the future the most is the drive, the energy, the Confidence, and thus the basic fuel of life. This is not meant to be the naive hope that in the end everything will be fine. Also, the so-called “Positive Thinking” can be at this point, even counterproductive.

What it needs now, is not a rosy optimism, but an illusion lots of attitude, due to which you can be despite all the problems, do not be discouraged. The best word for the old term “Confidence”. The old high German “zuoversiht” described originally, only the “Predict the future”, whether they appeared good or bad. Only in the course of time, the term was charged with the anticipation of what you wish for. Until today, a minor, with swings in the Confidence of the sound, the good-humored optimist is completely foreign.

What can we of Greta Thunberg learn

The best example of this is Greta Thunberg is currently with your school strike for the climate. Used although Confidence, but it’s not a optimist. The state of the planet, she sees unsentimental, and their commitment does not depend on whether it leads to success or not. When they went on strike in August 2018 for the first Time in front of the Swedish Parliament for the climate, you expected nothing Special, she told recently in an interview with Anne Will. You have to want to reasons, no movement. “I just wanted to do everything in my power to draw attention to the climate crisis.”

Their Action is not borne of the hope of a good output, but from the Conviction that it is right to get involved. Asked whether she had no fear that her Mission would fail, she replies calmly: “I have no Mission. My goal is just to do everything to make the earth a better place.”

This kind of inner strength of the Czech human rights activist Vaclav Havel once to the point: “hope is not the Conviction that something will turn out well but the certainty that something makes sense, regardless of how it turns out.”

The parable of the three frogs

Especially in difficult situations where success appears nearly hopeless, this is trust in the meaningfulness of one’s own actions is the only way to not sink into despair. Catchy this is illustrated in the famous parable of the three frogs that fall into a pot of cream. “Oh, we are lost,” moans the first frog pessimistic and drowns. The Optimist thinks, “don’t worry, someone will save us.” He waits, and waits, and drowns as well. The confident frog says: “As to struggle only remains for me to do.” He cranes his head above the surface and kicking up the cream in to Butter and he jumps out of the pot.

Confidence means: The seriousness of the present situation and at the same time, the use of the possibilities that open up.

The 2018 deceased astrophysicist Stephen Hawking would have had every reason to despair: With the beginning of Twenty with him of the incurable nerve disease was diagnosed, after he lost control of his muscles until he was completely paralyzed. However, to sink instead into self-pity, found Hawking – like the frog in the cream – those game rooms that gave his life meaning: He designed cosmological theories, married his girlfriend Jane and wrote “A brief history of time”, purchaser of the World. “In my opinion”, said Hawking in 2011 to the “New York Times”, “should focus disabled people on the things that are possible, instead of such behind to mourn them is not possible.” A wise foreign exchange, which would also save other people a lot of suffering.

In the face of opposition stable

Who has only the outer success, not giving up easily frustrated when things are not going as hoped. Anyone who follows his inner Conviction, also remains in the face of opposition stable. Greta Thunberg would have thought only of their chances of success, she would have started school strike, probably never.

The importance of this inner orientation is backed up by studies. So the Economics have evaluated scientists Manju Puri and David Robinson of the data from the us Survey of Consumer Finances. In this survey of U.S. citizens to answer regular questions about income, savings and consumption habits, health behaviour and attitude. The results showed: Positive-minded people to work longer, save more, smoke less, pay more attention to their health and trust to get married after a divorce again – what leads to you to have a higher likelihood of professional success, marital happiness and long life.

However, this only applies to people who call Puri and Robinson “moderate optimists” – namely, those that prove at the same time, a great sense of reality. In the case of the “extreme optimists” who are convinced a priori of its success, reverses the effect: they work less, smoke more, put your money only in the short term, or give it better – in the ├╝beroptimist Belief, you could happen nothing. With the optimism, to conclude, Puri and Robinson, it is like red wine: “A glass a day is healthy, but a bottle a day can be fatal.”

Confirmation for Confidence or a black painter?

Medical trials demonstrate the effect of Confidence. Most clearly shown in the famous Placebo effect: if you expect more of a healing, activated unconsciously self-healing powers that will actually help in the management of diseases. Such studies have shown again and again the amazing power of the “self-fulfilling prophecy”: those Who approach confident to problems, creates unconsciously the means to accomplish it – while the pessimistic attitude of “The everything nothing” objective secure the Foundation for negative experiences. This by the way may be curious at the end of all in your world view they feel confirmed, the Confidence how the black-and-painter.

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At the same time, these findings raise the interesting question of what is actually, in terms of the future of a “realistic” behavior. Because the realism is nowadays the measure of all things in the knowledge society. What is considered “not realistic”, is generally the same from the table, labeled as ridiculous or esoteric.

However, with the much-vaunted realism, which is based only on proven facts, is one thing: Everything is Proven only refers to past developments, never to the future. Furthermore, the Realist can include only those facts into consideration, the are aware of and which can be clearly identified. What he’s missing, are the seemingly minor Details and vague moods, surprisingly, as the formative forces of the future. Therefore, the greatest realists are often so terribly wrong in the assessment of the New: The fall of the Berlin wall, the experts saw as little in advance as the financial crisis, the Brexit, or the electoral victory of a narcissistic Raconteur by the name of Donald Trump.

And who would have thought that a sixteen year old student would initiate out of nowhere, a global protest movement, which brings today even the well-established public policy in a tight spot? Seen in this way, realism is actually: always expect the Unexpected; and clearly, that the future is never, but depends on what we expect from you, what we set ourselves and how we act today.